Saturday, November 23, 2024
Sport

Premier League title: Will Manchester City or Arsenal win? – BBC

27views

Pep Guardiola has won the Premier League five times with Manchester City
Two teams. One day. One trophy.
The Premier League title race is going down to the final day for just the 10th time. But will it be Manchester City or Arsenal fans celebrating this weekend?
Manchester City are two points clear at the top and would be the first side to win four consecutive top-flight titles if they overcome West Ham at home on Sunday, 19 May (16:00 BST).
But if City fail to win Arsenal will lift the title if they beat Everton at Emirates Stadium in a match at the same time.
Anything other than an Arsenal win will hand City the title. The Gunners are the underdogs – no team has come from second to win the Premier League title on the final day.
Premier League
Team
Played
Points
GD
GS
Form (past 5 games)
1. Man City
37
88
60
93
WWWWW
2. Arsenal
37
86
61
89
WWWWW
If teams are level after 38 games, the title will be decided on goal difference and, if still level, goals scored
According to Opta,, external Arsenal's chances of winning the Premier League stand at just 16% while City remain favourites on 84%.
The Gunners would have had an 81% chance of winning the title if City had lost to Tottenham on Tuesday – and a 75% chance if that match had ended in a draw.
Simon Gleave, head of analysis at Nielsen's Gracenote, gives Manchester City an 83.5% chance of lifting the title to Arsenal's 16.5%.
Before Manchester City's 2-0 win over Tottenham, City had a 60% chance to Arsenal's 40%.
Gleave said: "Arsenal's incredible run of 15 wins in 17 matches since the turn of the year would probably have been enough to win the league in most seasons ,but Manchester City have proven formidable title race opponents and have won 15 of their 18 matches over the same period."
Gracenote's chart of how the Premier League title race chances of Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool have fluctuated over the 2023-24 season.
Should there be a tie, the league is decided on goal difference, then goals scored, then most points in head-to-head matches, then most away goals in the head-to-head record.
Arsenal have the better goal difference on 61 compared to City's 60.
If the two teams were to finish level, City would have to draw – meaning their goal difference would stay the same, and Arsenal would have to win – increasing their already superior tally.
Whatever happens, do not be too surprised if there are more twists and turns on the final day of the season.
Three draws in a row in April 2023 cost Arsenal momentum as Manchester City won last season's title, with the Gunners' probability of being champions nosediving
Our coverage of your Premier League club is bigger and better than ever before – follow your team and sign up for notifications in the BBC Sport app to make sure you never miss a moment
Premier League official site
Comments can not be loaded
To load Comments you need to enable JavaScript in your browser
Pochettino leaves Chelsea after one season
Ruthless Southgate picks squad grounded on brutal reality
Ronaldo named in Portugal squad for Euro 2024
Sit back and take a sonic journey with Michael Mosley
Discover simple techniques to activate your body's built-in relaxation response
Conor and Jock are older, but are they any wiser?
Watch new episodes of The Young Offenders on BBC iPlayer
Delve into the personal lives of the Lionesses
Vick Hope finds out what Ella Toone and Alessia Russo are like at home
To get to the story, there's always a cost
In the underbelly of Tokyo, a US journalist breaks open the violent world of the yakuza
Ruthless Southgate picks squad grounded on brutal reality
England return with 'pride dented' – Buttler
Phil McNulty's end-of-season Premier League report
Does Newey guarantee success and should Red Bull replace Perez? – F1 Q&A
'The Valhalla nail-biter that had everything'
Key questions in Clarke's Scotland squad selection
End-of-season Premier League awards – vote now
The areas England must improve to take Australia's T20 crown
Ian Wright's emotional Match of the Day montage. Video
WSL title perfect end to Hayes' unique story
Usyk's epic victory over Fury in 10 pictures
How well do you remember this season's Premier League?
Black, white and shades of grey – what's behind sprint's race divide?
© 2024 BBC. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read about our approach to external linking.

source

Leave a Response